jordan_Outsourcing_book_temp.qxd 06/11/2009 10:46 Page 62
Well Blowout Rates in California Oil and Gas District 4 – Update and Trends
Table 1: Summary of Well Blowout Risks for California Oil and Gas District 4, 1991–2005
Consequences
Blowout During/From Probability Affecting Public Causing Worker Casualty Affecting Environment Duration
Minimum Median Maximum
Well construction – 1 in 2,500 wells 10% (oil- 15% (fatality, severe 20% (>25 30 minutes 18 hours 6 months
non-thermal fields misted houses) burns, concussion) acres affected)
Well construction – 1 in 1,700 wells 0% 10% (foot burn) 20% (<25 20 minutes 6 hours 43 hours
thermal fields acres affected)
Non-thermal 1 in 60,000 0% 0% 0% 3 hours >1 day
production wells well-years
Thermally enhanced 1 in 20,000 20% 0% 60% (~25 4.25 hours 6 hours 12 hours
production wells well-years (evacuation) acres affected)
Steam injection wells 1 in 10,000 0% 0% 80% (primarily earth <5 minutes 2 hours 5 days
well-years displacement – 1/3 to
400 cubic yards)
Shut-in/idle and plugged 1 in 140,000 0% 0% 25% (displacement of up 20 minutes 3 hours 5 hours
and abandoned wells well-years to 1,200 cubic yards of earth)
Figure 3: Updated Timeline of the Total Number of Well Figure 4: Number of Well Blowouts Relative to Activity Through
Blowouts in District 4 Time in California Oil and Gas District 4
18 18
16 16
70,000
14
14
Inactive wells
35,000
12
12
0
40,000
10
10
Fluid volume 20,000
8
(MMbbl at wellhead condition)
8
0
Blowouts/year
50,000
6
Blowouts/year
6
Active wells
25,000
4
4
0
2
7,000
2 3,500
0
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Well construction events
0
0
1991–2005 2006–2008
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Total annual
Annual Moving quadrennial average
Total quadrennial average
Modified from Jordan and Benson, 2009.
6
Modified from Jordan and Benson, 2009.
6
Figure 5: Total Number of Well Blowouts and Blowouts from Figure 6: Total Number of Well Blowouts and Blowouts During
Steam-injection Wells in District 4 Over Time Well Construction in District 4 Over Time
18 18
16 16
14 14
12
12
10
10
8
8
Blowouts/year
6 Blowouts/year
6
4
4
2
2
0
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 0
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Total annual Steam injection annual Total annual Well construction
Total quadrennial average Steam injection quadrennial average Total quadrennial average Well construction quadrennial average
Modified from Jordan and Benson, 2009.
6
Modified from Jordan and Benson, 2009.
6
construction declined from about three to one per year over the operation – one each from a steam injector and thermal production
same time period. All six blowouts from 2006–2008 could be fully well. One blowout occurred from an inactive well. The relative
categorised with the available information. Three blowouts occurred proportions of post-2005 blowout types are similar to the proportions
during well construction. Two blowouts occurred from wells in of blowouts from 1991–2005, except for the lack of blowouts during
EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION – VOLUME 7 ISSUE 2
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